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Old 20-04-2005, 01:05 PM   #1
logyk
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Weekender - Can we all start praying ?

Just checked on Metcheck and there is 30mm of rain predicted for Friday 29th with more due on Sunday !!!!!

What a country we live in
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Old 20-04-2005, 01:44 PM   #2
Mand
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Maybe?

They are lying like cheap rugs?

They said it was going to be pants on Sunday and it turned out to be a beautiful day.
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Old 20-04-2005, 02:11 PM   #3
CK & AK
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It sure cant be wetter than last year?
Friday ride up from home- sodden
Sat rideouts - sodden but dries out late afternoon
Sun, forecast wet but sun out instead
Mon, ride home in wet, again

C
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Old 20-04-2005, 03:13 PM   #4
MilesB
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Quote:
Originally Posted by logyk
Just checked on Metcheck and there is 30mm of rain predicted for Friday 29th with more due on Sunday !!!!!

What a country we live in
That's the forecast at over one week out, and at this time of year the algorithms they use can't cope with April Showers.

Check the forcast regularly and a guaruntee it will change - whether for the better I can't say - but that is the nature of forecasting... it becomes more accurate the closer you are to the event.

For example, when I planned a rideout for last weekend, the long range forecast was for 13mm (1/2 inch) of rain, but by the the day before they were forecasting dry with occasional light showers (as were the BBC)... result - Wall to wall SUNSHINE

Don't worry yet

Last edited by MilesB; 20-04-2005 at 04:19 PM..
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Old 20-04-2005, 04:31 PM   #5
logyk
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MilesB
That's the forecast at over one week out, and at this time of year the algorithms they use can't cope with April Showers.

Check the forcast regularly and a guaruntee it will change - whether for the better I can't say - but that is the nature of forecasting... it becomes more accurate the closer you are to the event.

For example, when I planned a rideout for last weekend, the long range forecast was for 13mm (1/2 inch) of rain, but by the the day before they were forecasting dry with occasional light showers (as were the BBC)... result - Wall to wall SUNSHINE

Don't worry yet
I hope you prove to be right to be more optimistic Miles
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Old 20-04-2005, 07:01 PM   #6
gary tompkins
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Wink Top marks CK

Quote:
Originally Posted by CK & AK
It sure cant be wetter than last year?
C

AAAAAAH! I don't beleive you just typed that out loud

Anyone know someone with a second-hand jet ski for sale?
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Old 26-04-2005, 09:24 AM   #7
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Metcheck Forecast

Quote from Metcheck...

Blank Holiday
Added [Monday April 25 2005 : 10:19:46 PM]

As we approach the UK Bank Holiday, all eyes are on the models and whether a BBQ is on the cards for what is traditionally one of the wettest Bank Holiday weekends of the year.

We're afraid that this year will be no exception, with rain, mild sunny spells and showers affecting all areas at some point.

At present detail is really tricky as models are struggling with many aspects of the upper trough currently out to the West of the UK.

At present, Saturday looks wet for Western areas with a band of heavy rain pushing in across all areas. Sunday sees the rain in the North, however with much of the UK in the warm sector of the system temperatures could well be respectable where the sunshine decides to make an appearance, although thunderstorms are considered high risk in the South. Monday comes up with a simple sunshine and showers for many areas, however once again these showers will be heavy in the South and West. So, not a clear cut picture, but hey, this is the UK.


...see, they admit they cant be too accurate.

Miles
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Old 26-04-2005, 09:28 AM   #8
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I'm just keeping an eye on this...

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/lib/incl...irmingham.html

Birmingham is the closest town/city I can find to the Arrow Mill on the Met Office website. Hopefully most of the cruddy weather will blow itself out before the weekend

DJ

(fingers crossed...)
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Old 26-04-2005, 09:36 AM   #9
CK & AK
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Worcs 7 day:

http://www.metcheck.com/7dayforecast...&locationID=70


Warwickshire 7 day forecast:

http://www.metcheck.com/7dayforecast...&locationID=47

C
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Old 26-04-2005, 09:45 AM   #10
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show off

well this is the BBC one

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/5day.shtml?id=1580

isn't it great how NONE of them say the same thing

DJ
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Old 26-04-2005, 12:12 PM   #11
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Have to say I don'y hold much stock in what Metcheck has to say - not deperately accurate when I've used before.

Met Office is quite good and also use www.weather.co.uk

I'm off home tonight to try to find my waterproofs - I've flipping moved since I last used and have no idea.....

Ped
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Old 26-04-2005, 12:21 PM   #12
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Think Positive!

The Weather Will Be Lovely!!
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Old 26-04-2005, 12:29 PM   #13
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I'm with Pedro on this one

It'll be a small miracle if we don't need the waterproofs at some stage. Could be (going on forecasts) a repeat of last years weather on the Saturday, but as we'll be heading into Wiltshire for the mini-moto, it's anyones bet what's in store that day weather-wise.

I'm just praying for a half decent (dry) day for the Sunday, and will make the best of what the rest of the weekend has to offer

Glass is half full and fingers etc crossed at the moment
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Old 26-04-2005, 12:40 PM   #14
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As long as the run up is dry - and I can get the tent up, then I'll be happy.

I'm not looking forward to the prospect of having to share a tent with a load of wet biking gear

Bob - can we book your room as a drying room???
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Old 26-04-2005, 01:54 PM   #15
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Boy am I glad I bought that Hein Gericke all weather 2 piece suit, 100% waterproof, wind proof and thermal lined too....

I'm off to Tescos later to buy Radar an extra large roll of black bin bags and sun some sun lotion, I am trying to be optimistic! :lol:
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